How to Invest During War and Crisis

Invest during war

Living in a World of Wars

Over the past few years, the world has witnessed an alarming surge in geopolitical conflicts that have disrupted global markets and investor sentiment.

It seems the world is heading towards World War 3?

After a relatively calm period without war news gracing the headlines (for most of the 2010-2020), global peace has once again been interrupted when the Russia-Ukraine invasion occurred in 2022.

The Russia-Ukraine war, which initially began in 2014 with the annexation of Crimea, escalated dramatically on 24 February 2022 when Russia, under President Vladimir Putin, launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine—marking the most significant military assault on a European nation since World War II.

Just two years later, another devastating conflict erupted. On 7 October 2023, Hamas militants launched a surprise assault on Israel, triggering the Israel-Gaza war that remains unresolved as of this writing.

Tensions in the region reached a boiling point once again in April 2025, when Iran retaliated against Israel for a suspected Israeli strike on its consulate in Syria. On 13 April 2025, Iran fired over 350 drones and missiles toward Israel, prompting a swift counterattack by Israel on 19 April 2025.

On 13 June 2025, Israel launched surprise attacks on key military and nuclear facilities in Iran. Iran repeatedly retaliated, attacking cities like Tel Aviv and killing 12.

The conflict lasted for 12 days, before US President Donald Trump called for a ceasefire between both nations.

The world now watches closely, with growing concern that this clash may escalate into a full-blown regional war in the Middle East with the involvement of global superpower United States, which might further destabilize energy markets and global supply chains.

Meanwhile, in Asia, geopolitical risks continue to simmer.

While the Kashmir conflict has been ongoing since 1947, the killing of 25 Indian tourists by Kashmir militants on 22 April 2025 sparked the recent India-Pakistan attacks.

China’s assertive stance on Taiwan—a democratically governed island Beijing claims as its own—has led to frequent military drills and heightened tensions in the Taiwan Strait. Many analysts warn that any armed conflict between China and Taiwan could draw in major world powers, potentially igniting a global-scale war given China’s strategic alliances and economic influence.

Adding to the instability is the ever-volatile Korean Peninsula. North Korea’s rapid development of nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs, coupled with South Korea’s growing military cooperation with the United States and Japan, has created a dangerous standoff that remains a major security concern in the region.

How do we invest in financial markets in times like these?

Wars and instability change everything, from consumer behaviour to currency values, and from supply chains to central bank policies.

Knowing how to invest during war and manage your portfolio becomes a crucial skill—not just for wealth preservation, but for strategic growth.

Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just looking to protect your hard-earned savings, this article is packed with practical strategies and expert insights to help you invest wisely during turbulent times, protect your portfolio, identify opportunities amidst uncertainty, and make sound financial decisions when the world seems chaotic.


➡️ The Impact of War on Global Markets

how to invest during war

When conflict erupts—whether localized or global—financial markets react swiftly.

Stock indexes across the globe often fall, commodities like oil and gold spike, and investors scramble to reassess risk.

To invest during war, one must first understand how different asset classes respond to geopolitical tension.

Key Historical Patterns

1) Wars lead to Economic Sanctions & Business Closures

Following the Russia-Ukraine war outbreak in February 2022, countries around the world have responded to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine by imposing economic sanctions on Russia.

According to BBC News, the US, UK, EU, Australia, Canada and Japan have collectively imposed more than 16,500 sanctions on Russia.

Many foreign businesses withdrew their operations from Russia following the war, with major US-listed companies (such as Mcdonald’s Corp., Starbucks Corp, British American Tobacco PLC and more) shutting down their Russian operations.

The Russian ruble collapsed as a result of the sanctions and decline in export earnings, and the Russian stock market crashed by 33% (the fifth-worst plunge in their history).

2) Wars lead to Oil Price Shocks

As of 2025, a key risk that threatens market stability remains.

One of the most immediate and visible effects of war—especially in geopolitically sensitive regions—is the surge in oil prices.

Because oil is the lifeblood of the global economy, any disruption in its supply or distribution sends shockwaves through energy markets and subsequently across industries and nations.

Why do Oil Prices Spike during War?

The global oil market stand to face greater volatility should the Israel-Gaza and Israel-Iran conflicts escalate and spread farther throughout the Middle East region (the largest oil exporting region in the world).

Real-World Examples of Wars Affecting Oil Prices

What is the Impact of Oil Prices on the Economy?

Any unexpected oil supply shock would cause oil prices to soar.

Higher oil prices ripple through the economy, increasing transportation, manufacturing, and utility costs, which can erode purchasing power and drive inflation.

Should inflation remain high, this reduces the chances of the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, which would dampen investor expectations of an interest rate cut that many are waiting for in anticipation of the next bull run in stock and crypto markets.

Keep in mind that the US Federal Reserve has increased interest rates for 11 times throughout 2022 and 2023, contributing to the drastic decline in stock prices throughout 2022 and the collapse of several banks in March 2023’s US banking crisis.

Price increases and higher than expected inflation rates lead to a decline in consumer spending as household incomes decline along with reduced confidence.

Businesses also spend less as their earnings decline.

Together, this causes economic growth to be hampered along with a fall in share prices across most industries .

The ones that benefit would be oil and gas companies—especially upstream producers—which often see their share prices rise alongside crude oil prices. ETFs like XLE or individual stocks like ExxonMobil and Chevron tend to outperform during energy crises.

Paradoxically, energy instability may also accelerate the push toward alternative and renewable energy sources, making green tech and infrastructure ETFs another long-term play.

3) Wars lead to Food Shortages, Energy Crisis & Inflation

economic crisis recession war

While a war definitely impacts the economies directly involved in a conflict, depending on international trade relations, other countries across the world may also suffer from the effects that follow.

International supply chains and trading of commodities were disrupted due to the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war, leading to shortages of goods which resulted in a surge in food and energy prices.

Russia is a key producer of crude oil and natural gas, with pipelines connected to various areas within Europe for the supply of energy. When Ukraine was invaded, interruptions in the delivery of resources resulted in higher energy prices for Europe, causing inflation to soar to its highest in decades.

Both Russia and Ukraine also play major roles as the world’s largest exporters of agricultural products.

According to the Voice of Ukraine Newspaper, both countries collectively produced about 30% of the world’s supply of wheat and barley.

Ukraine produces more than half of the world’s supply of sunflower oil which is used for cooking, while Russia has been the world’s largest producer exporter of agricultural fertilizers such as urea and phosphate (with their total production accounting for about 15% of global annual consumption).

The significant reduction in exports from both countries impacted global food security while food prices rose, driving inflation to decades-high in many countries including the United States.

Shipping congestion and delays resulting from port interruptions around the shipping routes near the conflict zones (Black and Baltic Seas for the Russia-Ukraine war situation) contributed to higher food prices as well amidst the delayed in deliveries to various regions of the world.


➡️ Best Assets to Invest During War and Crisis

To navigate war-era investing, it’s essential to focus on assets that are either resilient or counter-cyclical. While risk cannot be entirely eliminated, the right asset allocation can provide both protection and opportunity.

1. Gold & Precious Metals

When the world is gripped by war, economic instability, and inflation, one asset has consistently stood the test of time—gold. Known for centuries as a universal store of value, gold continues to be one of the most reliable safe-haven investments during times of geopolitical conflict and financial uncertainty.

It is also traditionally viewed as a safe haven asset amid times of global uncertainty due to its ability to preserve or gain value during times of crisis.

Central banks have been increasing their gold reserves across the past few years, contributing to the price surge. China is the largest net purchaser of gold, as it seeks to diversify away from other currencies and assets (especially US dollars and US Treasuries).

Since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war in Oct 2023, spot gold price has rose swiftly throughout the years and achieved a new all-time high exceeding $3,000 as of the date of this article.

Gold investment

Why Gold Shines in Times of Crisis

Real-World Examples – Gold in Modern Conflict:

How to Invest in Gold:

2. Defense & Aerospace Stocks

While many sectors would get hit adversely as a result of war, one sector in particular thrives on conflicts – the defense sector.

In times of geopolitical conflict and rising global tensions, few sectors see a clearer surge in demand than defense and aerospace. As governments increase military spending, replenish weapons stockpiles, and enhance security capabilities, defense contractors and aerospace manufacturers often experience a significant boost in revenues—and investor interest.

In the latest Russia-Ukraine war and Israel-Hamas war, US also participated by offering military assistance to Ukraine and Israel, boosting spending on industrial production related to military equipment and investments in defense technology.

how to invest during war

Why Defense Stocks Thrive During War:

Real-World Trends – War and Defense Stock Performance:

Asia-Pacific Tensions: Rising fears of conflict involving China, Taiwan, North Korea, and the South China Sea have led to a regional military build-up, opening growth opportunities for both U.S. and Asian defense firms.

Russia-Ukraine War: Since 2022, countries in Europe and NATO have sharply increased defense spending. U.S. defense giants like Lockheed Martin and Raytheon Technologies saw surging demand for missile systems and air defense tech.

Israel-Iran Conflict (2025): With escalating air and drone warfare in the Middle East, demand for missile defense systems, UAVs, and radar technology continues to rise, benefiting contractors with cutting-edge military tech.

Top Defense & Aerospace Stocks to Watch During Crisis:

How to Invest in Defense Stocks Strategically:

4. Dividend-Paying Blue Chips & Defensive Stocks

Stocks investment investing trading

When geopolitical conflict shakes markets and uncertainty clouds the future, smart investors often turn to blue-chip defensive stocks—large, stable companies that offer resilience, steady cash flow, and dividend income, regardless of economic conditions.

These companies operate in essential industries like consumer goods, healthcare, and utilities. Their products and services remain in demand during both war and peace, making them ideal core holdings for a wartime investment strategy.

Such companies are usually often large conglomerates which have withstand multiple crises, and are stable enough to continue paying dividends which offer a source of passive income for investors even during turbulent times.

Why Blue-Chip Defensive Stocks Are Reliable During War

Best Sectors for Blue-Chip Defensive Investing

How to Invest in Blue-Chip Defensive Stocks

4. Energy & Commodities

oil price energy stocks

In every major conflict of the modern era, one sector has consistently surged in value—energy.

Wars disrupt global oil and gas supply chains, spike commodity prices, and force countries to rethink their energy security.

As a result, investing in energy stocks during war often becomes a strategic play for both growth and protection – especially if the participants of a war include energy exporters. 

Wars in or near major oil-producing regions—like the Middle East or Eastern Europe—often lead to supply fears and rising crude oil prices. This directly boosts the revenue and margins of oil exploration, production, and refining companies.

Whether in peacetime or crisis, nations need energy. During war, military operations, industrial shifts, and emergency logistics actually increase demand for fuel, electricity, and power infrastructure. These drive higher revenues and higher share prices for oil and gas companies.

Real-World Examples – Energy Stocks in Wartime:

Best Energy Stocks and ETFs to Watch:

5. Real Assets & Land

While not a direct beneficiary of war, real estate can also be a favorable investment.

In times of war and global uncertainty, real assets—especially land and physical property—offer a sense of security that intangible assets often cannot.

Unlike stocks or fiat currency, real assets have tangible, intrinsic value, making them one of the most resilient investment classes during economic shocks, military conflict, and currency devaluation.

Property investment real estate homes

Why Real Assets Are Valuable During War:

Property prices may also decline during a crisis depending on the geographic region, providing investors an opportunity to scoop up valuable real estate at a discount, before prices recover after the war – which gives the purchaser a capital gain.

After the war subsides, the real estate sector may also benefit from increased government infrastructure spending in an effort to repair infrastructure and rebuild the economy.

Considerations when Investing in Land during Wartime:

How to Invest in Real Assets and Land:

6. Cryptocurrencies

As traditional financial systems face strain during war and geopolitical conflict, many investors turn to cryptocurrencies as an alternative asset class.

With decentralized networks, global accessibility, and censorship resistance, cryptos like Bitcoin and Ethereum are increasingly viewed as a digital hedge in times of uncertainty.

However, investing in cryptocurrencies during war comes with both unique opportunities and heightened risks. Understanding their behavior during global conflict is essential for building a resilient portfolio.

Bitcoin cryptocurrencies

Why Consider Cryptocurrencies during Wartime?

Historical Context – Crypto During the Russia-Ukraine War:

When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, Bitcoin initially fell alongside other risk assets.

However, crypto soon played a crucial role:

When news of Russia invading Ukraine initially came out in late February 2022, Bitcoin price fell in value from $44K to $36K as investors reacted by selling off risky assets. At the same time, inflows were directed toward gold leading to a rise in gold price.

However, Bitcoin rose swiftly back above $44K within a few weeks throughout the war as the demand for Bitcoin by Russians increased, with buyers viewing cryptocurrencies as an alternative to the traditional financial system amid the collapse of the Russian ruble.

How to Strategically Invest in Cryptocurrencies:

Yu can consider diversifying your traditional investments with cryptocurrencies, as long as you can accept the greater volatility associated with it.

Be mindful that while it can rose in price by 50%-100% within 1-2 weeks, it can also drop by 30%-50% within 1-2 days. The key is to not panic, and diversify your investments.

7. Safe Haven Currencies

In times of war, economic instability, and political uncertainty, investors often seek refuge in safe-haven currencies—those that tend to retain or even increase in value during global turmoil.

Safe-haven currencies are those perceived to be stable, liquid, and backed by strong, resilient economies. They typically perform well during periods of geopolitical conflict, economic recession, and market panic because of the trust global investors place in the issuing country’s fiscal and monetary policies.

Why Invest in Safe-Haven Currencies?

Top Safe-Haven Currencies to Consider:

How to Invest in Safe-Haven Currencies:

Key Considerations and Risks:


➡️ Build a Crisis-Proof Investment Strategy

During geopolitical instability, your investment approach must shift from aggressive growth to capital preservation and strategic positioning.

Invest Stocks Crypto Finance Money

Here’s how to invest during war with a resilient strategy:

1. Diversify Across Asset Classes

Avoid overexposure to any single sector.

A well-balanced portfolio may include equities across different industries, high-grade bonds, commodities, real estate, cryptocurrencies, and cash or cash equivalents. Diversification reduces drawdown risk during volatile periods.

2. Increase Cash Reserves

Liquidity is key. Having cash on hand provides optionality—allowing you to buy undervalued assets when markets overreact.

3. Hedge Inflation Risk

Invest in inflation-protected securities like TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities), or assets like gold and commodities that naturally appreciate during inflationary cycles.

4. Stay Globally Allocated

If one country becomes a war zone, others may remain economically stable or even benefit. Consider global ETFs and emerging market funds with lower exposure to conflict areas.

5. Limit Exposure to Risky Geographies

Avoid direct investments in countries undergoing war unless you understand the local dynamics deeply. Political risk, sanctions, and nationalization of assets are real threats.

6. Use Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)

Instead of investing a lump sum, spread your investments over time. DCA helps reduce the impact of market volatility, especially when headlines are driving short-term sentiment.

➡️ Psychological Tips to Invest During Crisis

Beyond the numbers, wartime investing also requires mental clarity. Fear and uncertainty cloud judgment. A smart investor must manage not just portfolios—but emotions.

1. Avoid Panic Selling

Wars often cause knee-jerk reactions. Markets may drop sharply, but overreacting can lock in losses. Remember: volatility is normal, even in peace.

2. Stick to Long-Term Goals

If you’re investing for retirement or long-term growth, avoid making drastic changes unless fundamentals shift.

3. Follow Credible News Sources

Disinformation can influence markets. Rely on trusted financial media, central bank updates, and official geopolitical analysis before making decisions.

4. Rebalance Portfolios Regularly

Asset values shift quickly in a crisis. Periodically review your allocation and rebalance to maintain your desired risk exposure.

5. Work With a Financial Advisor

If you’re unsure how to invest during war, a financial advisor or investment consultant can help you create a plan aligned with your risk tolerance and financial goals.


➡️ Invest Wisely in a World of Uncertainty

War and crisis bring both peril and possibility. While no investment is entirely safe, history has shown that informed, disciplined investors can weather even the most turbulent storms—and sometimes emerge stronger.

To recap, when you invest during war and crisis, focus on:

Don’t let fear drive your decisions—let information and strategy lead the way.


Stay informed. Stay prepared. Invest smart.

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